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VerfasserInnen / HerausgeberInnen
AutorIn 1:Silberglitt, Richard
AutorIn 2:Antón, Philip S.
AutorIn 3:Howell, David R.
weitere AutorInnen:Wong, Anny u.a.
HerausgeberIn 1:RAND Corporation
Titel
Titel:The Global Technology Revolution 2020, In-Depth Analyses
Untertitel:Bio/Nano/Materials/Information Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications
Veröffentlichungsvermerk
Ort:Santa Monica, CA / Pittsburgh, PA
Verlag:RAND Corporation
Jahr:2006
Abstract
Abstract:"(...) The National Intelligence Council (NIC) sponsored this study by The RAND Corporation to inform the NIC?s 2020 project2 and help provide US policymakers with a view of how world developments could evolve, identifying opportunities and potentially negative developments that might warrant policy action. From June 2004 through August 2005, RAND undertook the challenging task of identifying technologies and applications that have the potential for significant and dominant global impacts by 2020. As RAND found in its prior study for the NIC, The Global Technology Revolution (2001), technology will continue to accelerate and integrate developments from multiple scientific disciplines in a "convergence? that will have profound effects on society. RAND?s new study, however, has delved further into social impacts and concluded that:
? Regional and country-specific differences in social need and S&T capabilities are resulting in differences in how technology is revolutionizing human affairs around the world,
? Regional differences in public opinion and issues may strongly influence technology implementation,
? Maintaining S&T capacity requires consideration and action across a large number of social capabilities and stability dimensions,
? Capacity building is an essential component of development, and
? Public policy issues relating to some technology applications will engender strong public debate. (...)"
[Foresight]
Verfügbarkeit
Download: hier klicken (PDF  4,96 MB)
URL: RAND Corporation