| | | Silberglitt, Richard | | Antón, Philip S. | | Howell, David R. | | Wong, Anny; Gassman,Natalie; Newton, Elaine M. u.a. | | RAND Corporation | | | The Global Technology Revolution 2020, In-Depth Analyses | | Bio/Nano/Materials/Information Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications | | | Santa Monica, CA | | RAND Corporation | | 2006 | | | "Various Technologies ? including biotechnology, nanotechnology (broadly defined), materials technology, and information Technology ? have the potential for significant and dominant global impacts by 2020. This report is based on a set of foresights (not predictions or forecasts) into global technology Trends in the abovementioned areas and their implications for the wo rld in the year 2020. These fore sights were complemented by analysis of data on current and projected S&T capabilities, drivers, and barriers in countries across the globe. This work was sponsored by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) to inform ist publication of Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council?s 2020 Project Based on Consultations with Nongovernmental Experts Around the World, December 2004. In addition, funding was provided by the Intelligence Technology Innovation Center (ITIC) and the Department of Energy. It is a follow-on report to RAND MR-1307-NIC, The Global Technology Revolution (2001), which was sponsored by the NIC to inform its 2000 document, Global Trends 2015. Global Trends 2015 and the 1996 NIC document Global Trends 2010 identified key factors that appeared poised to shape the world by 2015 and 2010, respectively. This report should be of interest to policymakers, intelligence community analysts, technology developers, the public at large, and regional experts interested in potential global technology Trends and their broader social effects. (...)" | | |  hier klicken (PDF 4,96 MB) | |  RAND Corporation | |
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