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English
VerfasserInnen / HerausgeberInnen
AutorIn 1:UNIDO
HerausgeberIn 1:United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)
Titel
Titel:UNIDO Technology Foresight Manual - Volume 1
Untertitel:Volume 1: Organization and Methods
Veröffentlichungsvermerk
Ort:Vienna
Verlag:United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)
Jahr:2005
Abstract
Abstract:Contents:
1. Introduction.
2. Technology foresight defined.
What is technology foresight?
3. The development of foresight.
Historical evolution of foresight.
Technology foresight in Japan.
Technology foresight in the United States.
Technology foresight in the Netherlands.
Technology foresight in Germany.
Technology foresight in France.
Technology foresight in other countries.
Evolution of rationales through three generations.
The focus of foresight programmes.
4. Why has foresight become important?
Global driving forces and the challenges for technology policy.
Increasing competition.
Increasing constraints on public expenditure.
Increasing complexity.
Increasing importance of scientific and technological competencies.
The changing social contract between S&T and society.
Some further reasons for the increasing popularity of foresight.
5. Challenges for transition countries.
Issues for transition countries.
Recommendations for emerging economies.
6. Evaluation of foresight.
Some evaluation experiences.
Case l: UK foresight evaluation experiences.
Case 2: Evaluation of German FUTUR initiative.
Emerging lessons?policy tool and the fourth generation.
References.
Verfügbarkeit
Download: hier klicken (PDF  2,23 MB)
URL: United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)