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| NIC |
| National Intelligence Council - NIC |
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| Mapping the Global Future |
| Report of the National Intelligence Council?s 2020 Project |
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| Washington D.C. |
| National Intelligence Council |
| 2004 |
| Based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world |
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| Contents.
Executive Summary.
Methodology.
Introduction.
The Contradictions of Globalization.
An Expanding and Integrating Global Economy.
The Technology Revolution.
Lingering Social Inequalities.
Fictional Scenario: Davos World.
Rising Powers: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape.
Rising Asia.
Other Rising States?
The "Aging? Powers.
Growing Demands for Energy.
US Unipolarity?How Long Can It Last?
Fictional Scenario: Pax Americana.
New Challenges to Governance.
Halting Progress on Democratization.
Identity Politics.
Fictional Scenario: A New Caliphate.
Pervasive Insecurity.
Transmuting International Terrorism.
Intensifying Internal Conflicts.
Rising Powers: Tinder for Conflict?
The WMD Factor.
Fictional Scenario: Cycle of Fear.
Policy Implications.
[Foresight] |
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| hier klicken (PDF 7,26 MB) |
| National Intelligence Council |
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